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Elon Musk's '5x Value' Self-Driving Math Has a Fatal Economic Flaw
Elon Musk

Elon Musk’s ‘5x Value’ Self-Driving Math Has a Fatal Economic Flaw

I keep seeing Elon Musk’s 2022 Baron Conference clip resurface on X, where he explains why Tesla is a better investment than Mercedes-Benz using “net present value of future cash flows.” The same argument he made at the March 2025 All-Hands meeting when Tesla stock was down 40%: “It’s very difficult for people in the…

Ford CEO Jim Farley
Ford

Ford Promises Level 3 Autonomy on $30K EV While Taking $19.5 Billion in Writedowns

I’ve been tracking Ford’s EV pivot for over a year now, and today’s CES announcement is either the most ambitious course correction in automotive history or another promise the company can’t keep. Ford says it will bring Level 3 eyes-off driving to a $30,000 electric pickup truck in 2028. That’s the same company that just…

BYD

Tesla Loses Global EV Crown to BYD While Stock Hits All-Time Highs

I’ve been tracking this collision for months, and now it’s official: the company that defined the EV revolution just lost its crown while Wall Street threw a party. Tesla’s 2025 deliveries dropped 8.6% to 1.64 million vehicles, handing BYD the title of world’s largest electric vehicle maker by a margin of more than 620,000 units.…

Tesla Hits 9 Million Vehicles as Shanghai Builds Faster Than the World Wants to Buy
Tesla

Tesla Hits 9 Million Vehicles as Shanghai Builds Faster Than the World Wants to Buy

Tesla’s 9 millionth vehicle—a white Model Y—rolled off the line at Giga Shanghai today, and the timing says everything about where this company stands heading into 2026. The milestone took just 207 days to reach from the 8 millionth car, which was an Ultra Red Model Y produced at Giga Berlin on June 6, 2025.…

Tesla Q3 Earnings: Record Deliveries Hide Looming Post-Tax Credit Reality
Tesla

Tesla Publishes Pessimistic Q4 Delivery Forecast, Confirming Tax Credit Hangover

I’ve been warning about this moment since September. Tesla just made it official: the tax credit pull-forward we documented is now showing up in the company’s own numbers, and even Tesla’s unprecedented promotional blitz couldn’t fill the demand vacuum. In a first-of-its-kind move, Tesla publicly posted a consensus of 20 analyst delivery estimates directly on…

China's EV Market Now Belongs to Chinese Brands, and Detroit Just Took a $25 Billion Hit to Prove It - BYD's Price Cuts Under Fire: China's Bold Move Against EV Overcapacity
BYD

China’s ‘No Fire’ Battery Mandate Validates BYD, Challenges Tesla

I’ve been covering the EV battery fire saga for months, from Li Auto’s 11,000-vehicle recall to cargo ships sinking with burning EVs. Now China has done something no other country has attempted: mandating that EV batteries simply cannot catch fire or explode under any test conditions. This isn’t incremental regulation. It’s Beijing declaring that Chinese…

Tesla Model 3 Standard Launches in Europe at €37,970 as Chinese Rivals Close In
Tesla

Tesla Europe Sales Collapse: Market Share Halves as Chinese Rivals Surge

I’ve been documenting Tesla’s European decline all year, and the final numbers are in: it’s worse than even I expected. While the broader European EV market surged 27% in 2025, Tesla’s sales cratered 38.8% to just 129,000 units. That’s not missing a trend. That’s a market share collapse from 2.2% to 1.3% in 11 months while Chinese…

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