Musk Claims FSD Unsupervised ‘Pretty Much Solved,’ Robotaxi Without Safety Monitors In 3 Weeks

Elon Musk announced Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Unsupervised is “pretty much solved at this point” and confirmed Robotaxis without safety monitors will launch in Austin within three weeks. Why it matters: This marks Tesla’s first truly driverless commercial service, eliminating the human backup that has supervised Austin operations since June.

The Details

• Musk made the comments at an xAI hackathon, responding to questions about FSD progress.
• Tesla is “just going through validation right now” for the no-safety-monitor deployment using a smaller AI model.
• A significantly larger FSD model is scheduled for January or February 2026, described as “an order of magnitude larger” than the current version.
• Musk revealed Tesla will likely need to build its own chip fabrication facility to achieve the AI compute scale required.
• The CEO estimates Tesla needs “a few hundred gigawatts of AI chips per year” to reach serious scale.

Key Specs

• No-Monitor Launch: Approximately 3 weeks (late December 2025/early January 2026)
• Location: Austin, Texas
• New FSD Model: January or February 2026
• Model Size: 10x larger than current version
• Enhancements: Added reasoning and reinforcement learning (RL)
• Infrastructure: Tesla chip fab likely required

EVXL’s Take

Musk’s claim that FSD Unsupervised is “pretty much solved” deserves scrutiny given Tesla’s history of optimistic autonomy timelines. When Tesla launched its Austin Robotaxi service in June 2025, it relied on teleoperators and safety oversight. Removing that human backup entirely represents a significant leap that regulators and riders will watch closely.

The admission that Tesla needs to build its own chip fab reveals the infrastructure gap between current capabilities and Musk’s vision of millions of autonomous vehicles. Promising an “order of magnitude larger” model in two months while simultaneously acknowledging compute constraints raises questions about whether Tesla can deliver both simultaneously.

Frequently Asked Questions

• When will Tesla Robotaxis operate without safety monitors? Musk says approximately three weeks from December 10, 2025, putting the launch in late December or early January 2026.
• What is changing with the new FSD model? Tesla plans to deploy a model 10 times larger than the current version with added reasoning and reinforcement learning capabilities.
• Why does Tesla need its own chip fab? Musk says existing chip manufacturing cannot deliver the hundreds of gigawatts of AI compute Tesla requires to scale autonomy.