Japanese automakers, including their emerging EV divisions, might face new challenges as incoming U.S. President Donald Trump considers imposing significant tariffs on Japanese vehicle exports, according to Moody’s Analytics senior economist Stefan Angrick in a recent interview.

Campaign Promises and Trade Tensions

Trump’s campaign included promises of sweeping tariffs ranging from 10% to 20% on imported goods. Given the ongoing U.S. trade deficit, Japanese auto exports could become a primary target, potentially affecting the growing electric vehicle manufacturing sector in Japan, reports The Japan Times.

Potential Workarounds and Industry Response

However, there’s a silver lining for Japanese automakers. Angrick suggests these tariffs might not materialize as they could drive up U.S. inflation. “Such tariffs are unlikely to be realized as they could fuel inflation in the United States,” he notes. Japanese companies might avoid higher tariffs by committing to increased U.S.-based production and investment.

Economic Implications

The situation gets more complex when considering U.S.-China relations. The potential resumption of tariff disputes between these nations could have ripple effects on Japan’s economy, particularly affecting global supply chains crucial for EV production. The Federal Reserve might need to maintain high interest rates if import prices surge, potentially forcing the Bank of Japan to accelerate its own rate hikes.

EVXL’s Take

This development could accelerate Japanese automakers’ shift towards U.S.-based EV production, similar to what we’ve seen with other foreign manufacturers. Looking at Toyota’s recent moves in the American market, this might actually fast-track their EV manufacturing plans in the U.S., potentially leading to more affordable electric vehicles for American consumers through localized production.

What do you think about these potential tariffs and their impact on Japanese EV production? Share your thoughts in the comments below.

Photo courtesy of The Japan Times.